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15th May 2022

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Penn national gaming

Penn National Gaming (PENN) is among the top-rated gambling stocks as more states allow sports betting and online wagering. Is Penn stock a buy right now? Here is what the fundamentals and technical analysis say.


Penn is the nation’s largest and most diversified regional gaming company. It has 41 properties across 19 states. Penn operates under brands that include Hollywood, Ameristar and L’Auberge. Penn Interactive operates retail sports betting across the company’s portfolio, as well as online social casino, bingo and iCasino products. 

To bolster its sports betting portfolio, Penn in February 2020 announced it had partnered with Barstool Sports in Pennsylvania. Barstool will exclusively promote the company’s land-based and online casinos and sports betting products, including Barstool Sportsbook mobile app, to its national audience.

Penn Earnings And Fundamental Analysis 

Penn had been struggling before the pandemic hit, with several quarters of losses or flat earnings. Then the bottom fell out early last year. Penn returned to profitability in the third quarter, but posted a weaker-than-expected fourth quarter.

(Casimiro PT/

On May 6, Penn reported first-quarter earnings shot up 817% to 55 cents a share, ahead of views for 30 cents. Sales rose 14% to $1.27 billion, below estimates for $1.14 billion.

The IBD Stock Checkup assigns Penn stock an EPS Rating of 70 and an SMR Rating of E, the worst possible rating, as the coronavirus decimated casino stocks with lockdown orders.

The EPS rating reflects a company’s health on fundamental earnings metrics, and its SMR Rating gauges sales growth, profit margins and return on equity. 

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Penn Stock Technical Analysis 

Penn stock has soared more than 430% in the past year, as more states legalize sports gambling. Shares hit a high of 142 intraday on March 15, on news that it would be added to the S&P 500 on March 22. Rival Caesars was added at the same time.

Shares closed below their 10-week line on March 26 and have been trading below the key support level ever since, MarketSmith chart analysis shows.

After selling off on the mixed Q1 report, Penn stock is now testing its 200-day line. Since breaking out of a 76.72 buy point in December, shares have given up most of their gains and no new pattern has formed.

The relative strength line turned sharply down is recent days, amid a difficult market. Penn stock has a Relative Strength Rating of 95 out of a possible 99. 

With a Composite Rating of 63 out of 99, Penn is ranked No. 8 in the leisure gaming/equipment industry group. The rating combines key fundamental and technical metrics in a single, easy-to-use score. 

Penn stock is a component of the Roundhill Sports Betting & Gaming ETF (BETZ), which holds dozens of gambling stocks. BETZ’s top holdings include Penn, as well as rivals Flutter Entertainment (which owns FanDuel), DraftKings and William Hill PLC.  

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Penn Game Studios Launch

On May 3, Penn announced it had created Penn Game Studios, an in-house content development team focused on creating exclusive iCasino content. To fuel this effort, Penn is acquiring HitPoint Studios and its spun-off real money gaming company, LuckyPoint. Terms of the deal were not disclosed.

“We will now have the ability to create exclusive content for our audiences, further leverage the Barstool Sports brand and our database of 20 million myChoice customers, and create cross-marketing opportunities with our brick-and-mortar facilities,” said Penn CEO Jay Snowden in a statement.

HitPoint is an independent game design and development studio founded in 2008. It develops platforms for real-time multiplayer casual mobile games and runs the day-to-day live operations for multiple games using their proprietary technology stack.

In 2019, HitPoint spun out LuckyPoint to focus on real-money game development and the creation and operation of a remote gaming server. In addition to traditional online casino table games and slot machines, the LuckyPoint RGS brings a variety of gaming styles to desktop and mobile devices, including retro-style arcade games and puzzle games.

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Online Gambling Lifts Penn Stock

After the Supreme Court ruled in 2018 to overturn a federal ban on sports betting, 25 states have passed laws allowing it, including online gambling.

The online gambling market is slated to reach $127.3 billion by 2027, according to Grand View Research. 

Barstool Sports(PREMIO STOCK/

In September, Penn launched Barstool in Pennsylvania, the No. 3 betting market in the U.S., behind New Jersey and Nevada. Barstool expanded in Michigan in January.

On March 11, Penn launched its Barstool app in Illinois, in time for the college basketball tournament March Madness, which ran from March 18 to April 5. The tournament brought in $1.5 billion in betting revenue, according to In February, the Super Bowl took in nearly $500 million.

Illinois is also home to one of Barstool’s top markets, Chicago.

“The initial results for the first 30 days of operations exceeded our expectations, with better first-time deposit conversions relative to what we had generated in Pennsylvania or Michigan,” Snowden said in a statement.

During this period, Barstool registered over 54,700 new customers and generated total handle and gaming revenue of $67.7 million and $6.5 million, respectively.

Barstool now has more than 400,000 customers and generated over $660 million and $61 million in handle and gaming revenue, respectively. The company plans to roll out Barstool in eight states by football season and in at least 10 states before the end of the year.

The expansion of legal gambling could also be a boon rivals DraftKings (DKNG), Flutter Entertainment‘s (PDYPY) FanDuelRed Rock Resorts (RRR), Caesars Entertainment (CZR) and Churchill Downs (CHDN). 

View Breakout Stocks & Technical Analysis 

New York Passes Gambling Law

On April 7, New York state passed a budget with a bill to legalize online sports betting. The law has one last hurdle: a New York State constitutional challenge. In 2013, New York State voters approved a constitutional amendment to allow casino gambling at up to seven casinos in the state. In 2019, the state legalized sports wagering  but not online sports betting, since sports betters had to place bets in person at an authorized casino.

Legal experts say the current law should pass muster. The law specifies that online sports betting is legal as long as the bettor is physically present in New York at the time of the transaction. The law authorizes New York’s State Gaming Commission to choose two platform providers to become mobile sports wagering operators based on a competitive bidding process.

The commission may allow more than two mobile sports wagering operators if it finds that doing so is in the best interests of the state and if the additional operators pay the same tax rate as the initial two licensees. Licensees must pay a one-time $25 million fee to the state. And the operator’s license will need to be renewed after 10 years.

New York is one of the Big Four states that would really move the needle for gambling stocks like Penn. The other three are Michigan, which already allows online sports wagering, Florida and California.

Is Penn Stock A Buy Now? 

While the market for online gambling is growing and can be a promising revenue stream for Penn, analysts caution there could be bumps in the road. Two of the so-called Big Four states still do not allow sports betting. New York and Michigan recently passed laws allowing sports wagering, but California and Florida have not. 

Penn stock has soared to record highs, but has since retreated below its 50-day moving average.

Bottom line: Penn stock is not a buy as it is not in a buy zone while falling below key benchmarks, the 50-day and 10-week lines. While the stock is not yet flashing clear sell signals, investors should take note.

Still, as a leader in the booming sports betting market, investors should keep an eye on this stock for future buying opportunities. Also note that while the company is making a profit again, strong sustained growth hasn’t returned yet.

Follow Adelia Cellini Linecker on Twitter @IBD_Adelia.


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2021-05-06 14:37:36

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